US Hyperinflation No Later Than 2014
ShadowStats Puts 90% Odds on US Hyperinflation; Prices Rise 0.8%
John Williams' 2009 special report said hyperinflation could break 'in the year ahead' and 'likely cannot be avoided beyond 2014'. In January 2014 he put the odds at 90%.
What was said
“Risks are high for the hyperinflation beginning to break in the year ahead; it likely cannot be avoided beyond 2014.”
— John Williams (Shadow Government Statistics newsletter) · said Dec 2009 · due By the end of 2014
The consumer price index rose 0.8% over 2014, by the Bureau of Labor Statistics' count. That is inflation, technically, in the way a puddle is technically water.
Then vs Now
Promised: US hyperinflation, which 'likely cannot be avoided beyond 2014'
Consumer prices rose 0.8% over 2014 (as of 2014-12)
The Story
The 2010 update of his Hyperinflation Special Report (dated December 2009) set the outer limit at 2014. The January 2014 report (No. 587) kept it: 'The timing of the hyperinflation onset by the end of 2014 remains in place, with the odds of that occurence estimated at 90%.'
Outcome: the BLS reported on January 16, 2015 that the all items CPI-U 'increased 0.8 percent' over the 12 months to December 2014.
Receipts
- Hyperinflation Special Report (Update 2010) - Shadow Government Statistics (John Williams)accessed 2026-10-09
- Hyperinflation 2014 - The End Game Begins (No. 587, January 2014) - Shadow Government Statisticsaccessed 2026-10-09
- Consumer Price Index - December 2014 - US Bureau of Labor Statistics (Jan 16, 2015)accessed 2026-10-09
As of Oct 9, 2026
since it didn't happen
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