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All Fish and Seafood Species Collapse by 2048

Marine Ecologist, 2006: 'All Fish and Seafood Species Are Projected to Collapse Within My Lifetime, by 2048'

Boris Worm's Science study extrapolated the trend in collapsed fisheries to every species by mid-century. The deadline is 22 years away.

What was said

“if the long-term trend continues, all fish and seafood species are projected to collapse within my lifetime — by 2048.”

— Boris Worm (marine ecologist, Dalhousie University; lead author, Science, November 3, 2006) · said Nov 2, 2006 · due By 2048

Due in 2048. The forecast comes with its own condition: 'if the long-term trend continues.'

The Story

From the release for Worm et al., 'Impacts of Biodiversity Loss on Ocean Ecosystem Services', Science, November 3, 2006. Worm in the same release: 'I was shocked and disturbed by how consistent these trends are – beyond anything we suspected.' Other food forecasts: brown-china-grain-2030, ehrlich-sea-life-1980.

As of Oct 9, 2026

22 yearsy, 2 monthsm, 21 daysd

to go

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